Two-front War: Use This Strategy If You Want To Lose

“War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength.” ― George Orwell

MENTAL MODEL

silhouette of soldiers
silhouette of soldiers

A two-front war is when opposing forces are encountered on two geographically separate fronts. The forces simultaneously engage an opponent from multiple sides in order to increase their chances of success. The opponent consequently encounters severe logistic difficulties because they have to divide and disperse their troops and defend an extended front line. They are also partly cut off from their access to trade. This military phenomenon is a term that can be extended to countless contexts, not just war. You run yourself into a two-front war when you have to deal with multiple independent challenges simultaneously, weaking your ability to address any one of them.

When you need to make multiple important choices, stop. Don’t solve numerous problems at the same time. Splitting your cognitive efforts in different locations is what leads to mistakes. When forces are divided, they are weaker. The same applies to army forces and thinking. When you try to do multitudinous things at once, you do them all at a mediocre level. You are stronger when you are fully concentrated on one thing. Whereas when your resources are divided — time, attention, money, and energy — your ability to overcome any one issue plummets.

A two-front war in this metaphorical sense has to do with divided attention. When you engage in multiple challenges, you spread yourself thin, thereby reducing your impact on each individual hurdle. A business trying to launch a new product while simultaneously restructuring its internal operations will find that both efforts suffer due to a lack of concentrated attention. Different fronts also have conflicting requirements and/or timelines. In a personal context, this means juggling work and family responsibilities, which results in subpar performance in both. Managing multiple simultaneous issues makes decision-making, coordination, and execution complex. A project manager overseeing several concurrent projects will struggle with overlapping schedules and communication breakdown. In one word: overload.

six fighter jets
six fighter jets

Real-world instances of two-front wars:

  • Military Strategy: throughout history, armies that fought on two or more fronts experienced defeat because they couldn’t concentrate their forces. Dividing troops meant that neither front had the critical mass needed to overcome the enemy, which spelled overall strategic failure.

  • Business Operations: a small startup trying to develop both its core product and simultaneously expand into a new market will end up with both a suboptimal product and minimal market presence. Focusing on one key area — either perfecting that product or expanding geographically — might yield better long-term outcomes.

  • Personal Life: when you are trying to balance demanding work projects and significant family commitments, you might find that neither area receives the full attention it requires, resulting in stress and underperformance in both roles. Prioritizing and concentrating on one at a time would result in more effective outcomes.

  • Public Policy: a government attempting to simultaneously address economic recession and major infrastructure overhauls will struggle, since resources and political capital would be divided between the two. Strategically taking up one critical area would result in more successful outcomes.

How you can use the two-front war mental model: (1) set priorities — identify the most critical challenge with the greatest potential impact, and allocate the majority of your resources to it; (2) lock them up — rather than tackling multiple hurdles at once, address them sequentially, forming a timeline which allows you to fully concentrate on one at a time while keeping other challenges on hold; (3) get help — sometimes multiple challenges is unavoidable, then, if possible, delegate responsibilities to your teams or individuals who can concentrate on each front independently; (4) streamline everything — look for ways to reduce complexity in any given challenge, such as by simplifying processes and eliminating unnecessary steps to conserve resources; (5) build borders — set boundaries between initiatives to stop overlap, like specific time blocks and resource pools for each task.